000
ABNT20 KNHC 161735
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jul 16 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A westward-moving trough of low pressure located about 1000 miles
east-southeast of the Windward Islands continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are marginally conducive for some development of this system before
it reaches the Lesser Antilles in two to three days.  After
that time, less favorable upper-level winds are expected to hinder
additional development.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance Monday
afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown