000
ABNT20 KNHC 282327
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU JUL 28 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located over the Atlantic halfway between the west
coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles is moving rapidly westward.
Given the fast motion of the system, development, if any, will be
slow to occur. However, this system will likely bring showers and
gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands during the weekend,
and then, the activity should spread westward across the Caribbean
Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

The area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave and a
low pressure system centered about 350 miles south-southeast of
the Cabo Verde Islands has changed little in organization during the
day. This system has some potential for slight development during
the next day or two, before the disturbance encounters a less
favorable environment over the central tropical Atlantic next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

$$
Forecaster Avila