000
ABNT20 KNHC 081753
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of organization
in association with a low pressure system located just north of
the Turks and Caicos and the southeastern Bahamas.  In addition,
satellite images indicate that the circulation of the low is
becoming better defined.  Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical
depression or a tropical storm is likely to form tonight or on
Monday while the low moves west-northwestward to northwestward
near or over the central and northwestern Bahamas.  Locally heavy
rains and gusty winds are possible across the Turks and Caicos and
most of the Bahamas during the next day or so. An Air Force Reserve
hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system
Monday morning.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Stewart