000 ABNT20 KNHC 080502 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 100 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of showers and thunderstorms extending northward from the central Caribbean Sea across the Dominican Republic and the adjacent Atlantic waters is associated with a surface trough. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this disturbance during the next few days while it moves west- northwestward, and then northwestward toward the southeastern and central Bahamas. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent $$ Forecaster Brown