000 ABNT20 KNHC 072317 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 700 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An elongated low pressure area located about 150 miles east- southeast of Brownsville, Texas, is producing disorganized showers. This system is forecast to merge with a cold front over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico later tonight, and development of the low is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent An area of cloudiness and showers extending northward from the east-central Caribbean Sea across the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico is associated with a surface trough. There are no signs of organization at this time, however some gradual development of this disturbance is possible during the next few days while it moves west-northwestward toward the southeastern and central Bahamas. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent $$ Forecaster Brown