000
ABNT20 KNHC 071144
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms have become more concentrated in
association with a broad low pressure area centered about 300 miles
southeast of Brownsville, Texas.  Some additional development is
possible during the next 24 hours.  After that time, the low is
forecast to merge with a cold front over the western Gulf of Mexico.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the system this afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the
northeastern Caribbean Sea across the Lesser Antilles into the
Atlantic is associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough
and a west-northwestward moving tropical wave.  Some gradual
development of this disturbance is possible by early next week when
it is forecast to be near or east of the Bahamas.  Regardless of
development, locally heavy rains are possible over the Lesser
Antilles, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during the
next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven