000
ABNT20 KNHC 061147
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure over the Yucatan Peninsula and the
adjacent waters of the Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized
shower activity.  This system is expected to move west-northwestward
into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by Saturday and some slow
development is possible during the next couple of days.  After that
time, the low is expected to encounter a cold front, which would
make additional development unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from near the
Lesser Antilles eastward for several hundred miles is associated
with the interaction of an upper-level trough and a west-
northwestward moving tropical wave.  Upper-level winds are currently
not conducive for development.  However, environmental conditions
are forecast to become more favorable late in the weekend, when the
system is forecast to be near or north of Puerto Rico. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rains are possible over the Lesser
Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico during the next few
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven