000
ABNT20 KNHC 201132
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE OCT 20 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located just east of the coast of Belize
is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity across
portions of the northwestern Caribbean Sea, the Yucatan Peninsula,
and Belize.  Although upper-level winds are marginally conducive for
tropical cyclone formation, land interaction is expected to inhibit
significant development while the disturbance moves slowly westward
to west-northwestward across the southern Yucatan Peninsula and into
the extreme southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days.
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, this system is likely to
produce heavy rainfall across portions of Belize, northern
Guatemala, Honduras, and the Yucatan Peninsula during the next few
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven