000
ABNT20 KNHC 192333
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON OCT 19 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located in the Gulf of Honduras is
producing shower and thunderstorm activity across portions of the
northwestern Caribbean sea, the Yucatan Peninsula, and Belize.
Although upper-level winds are marginally conducive for tropical
cyclone formation, land interaction is expected to preclude
significant development while the disturbance moves slowly westward
to west-northwestward across the southern Yucatan Peninsula and into
the extreme southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days.
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, this system will likely
produce heavy rainfall across portions of Belize, northern
Guatemala, and the Yucatan Peninsula during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Roberts