000
ABNT20 KNHC 171733
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure located inland about 60 miles west-southwest
of Chetumal, Mexico, is producing shower and thunderstorm activity
across portions of the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Yucatan
Peninsula. While the circulation of the low has become a little
better defined today, significant development is not expected
through tonight while the low moves slowly west-northwestward across
the southern Yucatan peninsula. However, some development is
possible on Sunday or Monday if the low emerges into the southern
Bay of Campeche. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate this system Sunday afternoon, if necessary.
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, this system will likely
produce heavy rainfall across portions of Belize, northern
Guatemala, the Yucatan Peninsula, and southeastern Mexico through
Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan