000 ABNT20 KNHC 051744 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON OCT 5 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Joaquin, located about 200 miles north of Bermuda. A tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Upper-level winds are expected to be unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation, and any development of this system should be slow to occur while it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent $$ Forecaster Cangialosi