000
ABNT20 KNHC 050512
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Joaquin, located about 100 miles northwest of Bermuda.

A broad low pressure area located about midway between the Cape
Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Upper-level winds are not
particularly conducive for tropical cyclone formation, and any
development of this system should be slow to occur during the next
several days while it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown