000
ABNT20 KNHC 041148
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Joaquin, located about 200 miles southwest of Bermuda.

Shower activity remains minimal in association with an area of low
pressure located about 800 miles east-southeast of Bermuda.
Environmental conditions are becoming less conducive due to nearby
Hurricane Joaquin, and significant development of this system is not
anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

A broad low pressure area located several hundred miles southwest
of the Cape Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms.  Upper-level winds are not particularly
conducive for tropical cyclone formation and any development of this
system should be slow to occur during the next several days while it
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi