000
ABNT20 KNHC 022349
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Joaquin, located near the central Bahamas.

A non-tropical area of low pressure over the central Atlantic about
850 miles east-southeast of Bermuda is producing gale-force winds,
but the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is displaced
well to the east of the center.  Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for the low to acquire more tropical
characteristics for another day or so before development is
hindered by strong upper-level winds associated with Hurricane
Joaquin.  Information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

A tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cape
Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Although upper-level winds are not forecast to be conducive for the
next few days, some slow development is possible next week while the
system moves west or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Berg