000 ABNT20 KNHC 021745 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Joaquin, located near the central Bahamas. A non-tropical area of low pressure over the central Atlantic about 850 miles southeast of Bermuda is producing winds of gale force. Although shower and thunderstorm activity has decreased since yesterday, environmental conditions are still forecast to be conducive for the low to acquire more tropical characteristics during the next day or so. The system is likely to become a tropical cyclone before upper-level winds, enhanced by Hurricane Joaquin, are forecast to be too strong for further development by Sunday. Information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent A tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although upper-level winds are not forecast to be conducive for the next few days, some slow development is possible next week while the system moves west or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Blake