000
ABNT20 KNHC 250548
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Ida, located about 1200 miles east-northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands.

A trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean Sea and
Central America.  Development is not expected during the next couple
of days while this system moves northwestward across Central
America and the Yucatan Peninsula.  A surface low is forecast to
develop once the disturbance reaches the southern Gulf of Mexico on
Sunday, but environmental conditions are likely to be only somewhat
conducive for the formation of a tropical cyclone early next week
while the low moves northward over the Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Berg