000
ABNT20 KNHC 161143
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED SEP 16 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms have continued to become better organized
during the past few hours in association with a low pressure system
located about midway between the Cape Verde Islands and the Lesser
Antilles. If these trends continue, a tropical depression could
form later this morning before upper-level winds become less
conducive for development by tomorrow. This system is expected to
move north-northwestward to northwestward over the central Atlantic
at about 10 mph for the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

A broad area of low pressure located about 350 miles southwest of
the southernmost Cape Verde Islands continues to produce
disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression over the
next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan