000
ABNT20 KNHC 150500
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A low pressure area located about midway between the Cape Verde
Islands and the Lesser Antilles continues to produce a limited
amount of shower activity. Some development of this low is still
possible during the next couple of days while it moves generally
northwestward. After that time, however, upper-level winds
are expected to become unfavorable for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

An area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico just east of Tampico, Mexico, is producing widespread
cloudiness and disorganized shower activity. Significant
development of this system is unlikely before it moves inland over
Mexico later today. Regardless of development, this system could
produce locally heavy rain over portions of eastern Mexico during
the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system is
located about 400 miles south-southeast of the southernmost Cape
Verde Islands. Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to
show signs of organization, and environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression
over the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi