000
ABNT20 KNHC 142330
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON SEP 14 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A low pressure area located about midway between the Cape Verde
Islands and the Lesser Antilles continues to produce a limited
amount of shower activity.  Some development of this low is still
possible during the next couple of days while it moves generally
northwestward. After that time, however, upper-level winds
are expected to become unfavorable for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

An area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico
is producing widespread cloudiness and disorganized shower
activity. Some slow development of this system is possible before
it moves inland over Mexico in a day or so. Regardless of
development, this system could produce locally heavy rain over
portions of eastern Mexico during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system is
located about 500 miles south-southeast of the southernmost Cape
Verde Islands.  Shower and thunderstorm activity is showing some
signs of organization, and environmental conditions are expected to
be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression over the
next few days while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi