000
ABNT20 KNHC 011738
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

1. A weak surface trough, the remnant of Erika, is producing
a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.  Surface pressures in the area
remain high and upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for redevelopment.  This system could produce locally heavy
rainfall over portions of central and northern Florida during the
next day or so while it drifts northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

2.  A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of
Africa over the next couple days several hundred miles southeast of
the Cape Verde Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should
be slow to occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15
to 20 mph.
*Formation chance though 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Sullivan/Brown