000
ABNT20 KNHC 242347
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON AUG 24 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure system located
about 825 miles east of the Lesser Antilles has become a little
better organized today, although satellite wind data today suggest
that the system has not yet developed a fully closed surface
circulation.  Recent reports from a NOAA buoy indicate that the low
is producing winds to tropical-storm-force, and only a small
increase in organization would result in the formation of a tropical
storm as the system moves westward near 20 mph.  Interests in the
Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of this disturbance.
Additional information on this low can be found in high seas
forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

A tropical wave and associated low pressure area located just
west of the Cape Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are not expected to be
conducive for significant development of this system while it
moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Brown