000
ABNT20 KNHC 221147
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT AUG 22 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Danny, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean about 740
miles east of the Leeward Islands.

During the night, the broad area of low pressure over the western
Atlantic Ocean has formed a new center a couple of hundred miles
north-northwest of Bermuda.  While the associated shower activity is
poorly organized, there is still some potential for tropical or
subtropical cyclone development during the next couple of days as
the system moves generally northward.  After that time, the low is
expected to merge with a frontal system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Shower activity associated with a tropical wave near and south of
the Cape Verde Islands has become a little better organized since
yesterday.  Additional slow development of this system is possible
during the next several days while the wave moves quickly westward
at about 25 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

Another tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of
Africa in a day or two.  Some development of this system is
possible thereafter while it moves westward over the eastern
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven