000 ABNT20 KNHC 161743 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave and a surface low pressure system located several hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands are producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms, which are beginning to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression could form by midweek as the disturbance moves westward at around 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart