000 ABNT20 KNHC 161106 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SUN AUG 16 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave accompanied by a surface low pressure system is producing a concentrated area of disturbed weather a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for gradual development of this disturbance over the next several days while it moves westward at around 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart