000 ABNT20 KNHC 310523 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave accompanied by an area of low pressure is located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. This disturbance continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and some slow development of the system is possible into early next week while it moves generally westward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles east of the North Carolina coast. This low is expected to move northeastward and merge with a frontal system later today, and significant development is unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent $$ Forecaster Pasch