000 ABNT20 KNHC 131146 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms have increased across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and adjacent land areas in association with a trough of low pressure that has recently formed at the surface. This system is expected to move across the Yucatan peninsula later today and into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by late tomorrow. Environmental conditions could support slow development of this system during the next few days while it moves generally northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Blake