000 ABNT20 KNHC 130514 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from Central America northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea are primarily associated with an upper-level trough. This activity is expected to spread into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday. Upper-level winds are only marginal for tropical cyclone formation and development, if any, will be slow to occur while this system moves generally northwestward through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent $$ Forecaster Avila