000 ABNT20 KNHC 290538 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Upper-level winds are currently marginally conducive, and some slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Afterwards, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. A low pressure system, the remnants of Tropical Storm Hanna, is moving inland over Belize while it produces disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Now that the low is moving inland, significant re-development is unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven