000 ABNT20 KNHC 301137 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT MON JUN 30 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower and thunderstorm activity remains minimal in association with a low pressure area located about 140 miles east-northeast of Melbourne, Florida. However, surface pressures are falling, and environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development during the next few days. A tropical depression is likely to form by mid-week while the system moves slowly southwestward and thens turns northward and northeastward near the southeastern United States coast. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain