000
ABNT20 KNHC 161739
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY DEVELOP
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME
CONDUCIVE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE THE LOW MOVES NORTHWESTWARD
TO NORTHWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE 48
HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN