000
ABNT20 KNHC 161139
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST SAT NOV 16 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS GRADUALLY DEVELOPING OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF
BERMUDA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME CONDUCIVE FOR THIS
SYSTEM TO GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
LARER THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE LOW MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN