000
ABNT20 KNHC 160504
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST SAT NOV 16 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC OCEAN SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME CONDUCIVE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO
GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE WEEKEND AND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE LOW MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...40
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT FIVE DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER STEWART