000
ABNT20 KNHC 031146
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST SUN NOV 3 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM
NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SOUTHWARD
OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AND WEAK 
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN GENERALLY UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WHILE THE SURFACE LOW
DRIFTS WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.  REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BROWN