000
ABNT20 KNHC 250513
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DEVELOPED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANTS OF LORENZO...WHICH ARE LOCATED ABOUT
1200 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH BEFORE BEING ABSORBED
BY A COLD FRONT IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. 

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN