000
ABNT20 KNHC 202335
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 625 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BERMUDA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN GENERALLY UNFAVORABLE
FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND 
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING 
THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD...THEN TURNS 
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BROWN