000
ABNT20 KNHC 151733
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE OCT 15 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS NORTHEASTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA OVER THE NEXT 
DAY OR TWO...AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD NEAR OR ALONG AN OLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FIVE
DAYS.  

&&
FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER STEWART