000
ABNT20 KNHC 142334
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON OCT 14 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF
CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED SHOWERS A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE
BAHAMAS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO
BE SLOW TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
NORTHWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. 

&&
FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN