000
ABNT20 KNHC 102338
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU OCT 10 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IN THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS
OF ORGANIZATION. THIS LOW COULD STILL BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TONIGHT OR FRIDAY BEFORE UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS INHIBIT
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...
50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. 

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN