000
ABNT20 KNHC 082344
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE OCT 8 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS HAVE INCREASED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. 
ALTHOUGH THIS DISTURBANCE IS BEGINNING TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN A DAY OR TWO...AND REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR SEVERAL DAYS THEREAFTER.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER STEWART