000
ABNT20 KNHC 161734
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 16 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM INGRID...LOCATED INLAND WEST OF LA PESCA MEXICO...AND HAS
RE-INITIATED ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO OVER THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES ISLAND.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA IS FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.  AFTER THAT...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST
TO BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. 

&&
FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BROWN