000 ABNT20 KNHC 161136 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT MON SEP 16 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE INGRID...LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HUMBERTO IS LOCATED ABOUT 1075 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES ISLANDS AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR REGENERATION INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS AS IT TURNS NORTHWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. OTHER SYSTEMS WITH FORMATION POTENTIAL BEYOND 48 HOURS... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WHERE A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. && HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO $$ FORECASTER BROWN