000
ABNT20 KNHC 151743
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN SEP 15 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
INGRID...LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HUMBERTO IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF THE AZORES.  ALTHOUGH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS
DIMINISHED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...THE CYCLONE HAS A WELL
DEFINED CIRCULATION AND IS PRODUCING TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO
BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR REGENERATION INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN A
DAY OR TWO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. 
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
REGENERATION FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS AFTER THAT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS
A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

&&
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/ZELINSKY