000
ABNT20 KNHC 131129
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI SEP 13 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
HUMBERTO LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE...LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA...AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TEN...LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
ALTHOUGH SURFACE PRESSURES ARE LOWER THAN NORMAL IN THIS AREA...
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS
A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. 

&&

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT35 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT5.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT25 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT5.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER AVILA