000
ABNT20 KNHC 301732
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 30 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS
GRADUALLY APPROACHING THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. AFTER
THAT TIME...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER
THE EASTERN ATLANTIC. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. WHETHER THIS DISTURBANCE BECOMES A
TROPICAL CYCLONE OR NOT...IT WILL LIKELY BRING CLOUDINESS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO PORTIONS OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IN THE NEXT 2
OR 3 DAYS. 

THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT
650 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IS LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED. 
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS...AS IT MOVES WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER AVILA