000
ABNT20 KNHC 281742
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED AUG 28 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

OTHER SYSTEMS WITH FORMATION POTENTIAL BEYOND 48 HOURS...

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1400
MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES REMAINS LIMITED. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE WAVE MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH AND
APPROACHES THE LESSER ANTILLES. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR
0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER WEST AFRICA IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH...AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD
FORM AFTER THE WAVE MOVES OFF THE COAST BY FRIDAY. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS
ANTICIPATED EARLIER. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL
FOR DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS DURING THE
WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&
FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER AVILA