000
ABNT20 KNHC 250545
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN AUG 25 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING OFF
THE YUCATAN COAST OF MEXICO INTO THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE. 
THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...BUT
NEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR TO BE FORMING NEAR THE CENTER
OF CIRCULATION.  THE LOW SHOULD REMAIN OVER WATER WHILE MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE CONDUCIVE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE
IT REACHES THE COAST OF THE STATE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO ON MONDAY. 
THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. 
AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS
AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BERG