000
ABNT20 KNHC 231734
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER
ORGANIZED.  ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND
NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT... OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS. 

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN