000
ABNT20 KNHC 222336
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTH AND CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT PRESSURES ARE NOT FALLING AND  
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED WHILE THE TROUGH MOVES
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT... OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS. 

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BROWN