000
ABNT20 KNHC 221733
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE
TROUGH.  SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED WHILE THE TROUGH
MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS. 

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER PASCH