000
ABNT20 KNHC 190500
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED BETWEEN THE
WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS DIMINISHED
EARLY TONIGHT.  DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD
OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC AT ABOUT 10 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN